The Importance of Realistic Goals When Influencing Low-Motivation, Partisan Audiences

The Importance of Realistic Goals When Influencing Low-Motivation, Partisan Audiences

Introduction: Why Fast Results Aren’t Always Realistic

A potential client reached out a few months ago with a challenging request: they wanted us to “change minds… fast.”

After a deeper dive, it became clear they were really hoping to quickly alter a specific, public behavior.

Their ask? Develop a plan to make it happen. NOW.

In our first meeting, the client (who, let’s be honest, had zero patience for a long process) and I spent some time unpacking the factors at play with their target audience. Here’s what we agreed on:

      • Motivation? Pretty low. This audience had a lot going on, and the client’s issue wasn’t exactly top of mind.
      • Partisanship? Through the roof. This issue had become a political flashpoint, not something easily shifted.
      • Strength of Beliefs? A mixed bag—likely low overall—but most were sticking hard to their partisan lines.
      • Target Audience? The masses. We weren’t dealing with individuals but a collective mindset.

Through some honest conversation (and a few tough pills to swallow), the client started to grasp the limitations. Coercion? Not happening.

It became clear: expecting a quick, dramatic behavioral shift wasn’t realistic. (The client didn’t love hearing that.)

Eventually, we shifted the goal. Instead of “changing minds fast,” we landed on something more feasible: Mitigating resistance and opening the door to considering new information.

Understanding the Challenge: Low Motivation and High Partisanship

Here’s the thing: if you want to influence public opinion, you have to understand who you’re dealing with.

In this case, the audience’s motivation was rock-bottom. People were juggling a million priorities, and this issue wasn’t even on their radar.

Then there was the partisanship. When people tie their identity to a political party or movement, changing their opinion feels like threatening their sense of self. Political polarization? It’s a fortress. Trying to break through? Like turning a battleship with a canoe paddle.

Strength of beliefs was another layer. Most weren’t deeply invested in the issue itself, but they leaned heavily on partisan cues. Their engagement wasn’t critical or thoughtful; it was reflexive. To move the needle, we’d first have to untangle those layers of identity and affiliation.

Why Coercion Doesn’t Work: The Limits of Influence

Here’s a truth bomb: coercion doesn’t work. Sure, you can force compliance in the short term, but it doesn’t change minds. In fact, it often entrenches resistance even deeper. Push too hard, and people dig in. Throw partisanship into the mix, and you’re not just meeting resistance—you’re fueling it. Coercion can break trust and destroy relationships, which is exactly what you don’t want when trying to create lasting change. And in this case, the client had no real leverage. Instead of forcing the issue, we took a different approach: reducing resistance and creating space for people to choose to engage with new perspectives.

Reframing the Objective: Mitigation and Openness

Once we let go of the “change minds fast” fantasy, we could focus on a realistic goal: mitigating resistance and fostering openness.

The idea wasn’t to flip opinions overnight. Instead, we aimed to soften the ground—to create an environment where new information could take root.

Think of it like planting a seed. Growth takes time, but with the right conditions, it happens.

Blunt force wasn’t going to work here.

The Power of Incremental Change: Fostering Open-Mindedness

Big, dramatic changes don’t stick, especially in a politically charged climate. So we went small. Real small. The goal became about introducing little bits of new information—no overwhelming data dumps, no aggressive pitches. Just tiny nudges that gently challenged existing views without triggering defensiveness. It’s like getting someone to try a new food. Offer a small taste, and they might be curious. Force-feed them? They’ll spit it out—and maybe even puke on you.

Strategies for Influencing Low-Motivation, Partisan Audiences

When dealing with low-motivation, partisan audiences, success isn’t about sweeping changes. It’s about crafting strategies that meet them where they are.

 

      • Appeal to Shared Values
        Tap into the universal concerns that unify people: family, security, fairness, community pride. Frame your message to align with these priorities—it’s harder to dismiss what feels familiar and relevant.

      • Leverage Trusted Messengers
        The messenger matters. Use individuals or institutions the audience already respects—community leaders, influential peers, or trusted organizations.

      • Deploy Narrative Framing
        Facts don’t persuade; stories do. Develop narratives that reflect the audience’s experiences or aspirations. A compelling story can cut through defensiveness and make the message relatable.

      • Demonstrate Social Proof
        People follow the crowd. Highlighting others within their social circles who are engaging with the issue normalizes new ideas. Multiple touchpoints matter here—one voice isn’t enough.

      • Focus on Incremental Change
        Aim for small wins. A petition signature, a webinar click, or even a casual conversation can build momentum over time.

Managing Expectations: Setting Realistic Goals

Let’s be real: shifting deeply held beliefs is a marathon, not a sprint.

Instead of aiming for instant results, focus on small, measurable wins. Over time, these steps add up, creating meaningful progress.

Every little nudge moves the needle.

Conclusion: The Long Road to Influence

The lesson? Sometime, you gotta slow down and examine if the goal is realistic and proper. And in our case of dealing with low-motivation, partisan audiences, realistic goals are essential. By reducing resistance and gently opening the door to new perspectives, you can lay the groundwork for long-term change. Changing minds doesn’t happen overnight. It’s slow, deliberate, and frustratingly incremental—but it’s also the only way to achieve lasting influence. Frankly, most don’t want to hear there are no silver bullets – only work and resources.

Epilogue: The Outcome

We didn’t win the engagement.

Another firm swooped in with a flashy, budget-friendly “disruptive solution.” Their pitch? “Hyper-engage” the audience with a game-changing, “AI-driven framework.” Because nothing screams credibility like jargon laden buzzwords.

The client bit. And hey, quick fixes sell—whether they work is another story.

I am starting to believe we stink at marketing.  Maybe, instead of a thoughful plan, we just come up with the newest innovate, strickly proprietary of course, AI trained persuasion blackbox.  

Eventually, the reality of shifting partisan beliefs will catch up. It always does.

Changing short term behavior let along hearts and minds? Not for the faint of heart. Godspeed.

Most Punchable Face in Politics is CANCELLED!

Most Punchable Face in Politics is CANCELLED!

There are dumb moves, and then there are really dumb moves.  

This past weekend, in a fit of smart-alecness I announced on social media that I was going to sponsor a “Most Politically Punchable Face” tournament.   It was going to be bracket style and include seeds for each region.  It was an open call for nominations.  

Yeah, terrible idea.  What I put up in a smart-alec way, quickly turned…well scary.

No kidding I had every intention of putting up a ‘who has the most punchable face in politics bracket’, excluding myself to allow others to have a chance to win.

In fact, I had gone as far as starting to program it, had seeding for east, west, south and north divisions completed, written the “rules” and had selected an equal number of members of both parties.

It was going to be a riot.  I thought in today’s media environment, it would be an eye-catching, silly stunt to drive some PR and “engagement.”

Instead, it was a total and complete lack of judgment on my part, and I apologize.

I have since deleted the social media posts and will issue a variation of this post on those channels.   

At times, today’s politics veers into actual political violence because norms are eroding and people are … upset.

Upon seeing some of the comments and DMs, I quickly realized I want no part in contributing to this environment or erosion of norms.

Violence is not acceptable in politics, and I can’t ask for civility and then engage in nonsense.

I am sorry.

Blog Challenge:  What is the most important messaging challenging facing Republicans? Same for Democrats?

Blog Challenge: What is the most important messaging challenging facing Republicans? Same for Democrats?

I like this question because it forces you to think about Republicans and Democrats in context. It is a question that deserves a lot more time than I have today, because of FuBball! (GO USMNT!)

While I will write a more detailed post for each party on messaging challenges, I think I can answer top-level the challenge for BOTH sides – do not allow the other side to define you as their straw-man or caricature.

Spend 15 minutes watching Hannity/Tucker or Maddow and you will see what I am talking about.

I listen to Tucker or Hannity and then look at my wife and I don’t see someone wanting to kill me (most of the time) or doing anything the ‘Radical Left’ is allegedly doing. She is literally just sitting there trying again to figure out a way to close our her day and make sure tomorrow will be a good one also.

We will then switch to Maddow. She looks at me and notices my knuckles aren’t dragging while I strut to my weekly Klan meeting covering up corruption.

(We turn it all off normally for some type of murder show.)

The partisan opinion media excels at setting up straw-men and expertly knocking them down. Straw-men and caricature are what drives “viewer engagement” and viral clips. We rejoice in their set up and then watching the other-side get “destroyed”.

That’s the high level biggest challenge for each party: pushing back on the caricatures put forth.

More to follow, but for now, GO USA!

Blog Challenge:  What do you do?

Blog Challenge: What do you do?

My father and I have started meeting for breakfast once a week.  No agenda, just eggs and chatter.

We were chewing the fat about it being busy at work, and he looks at me and asks “What is it that you guys do?”

That hit hard – my own father doesn’t know what we do.

Now, in fairness “what we do” has changed over the years – mostly morphing on the type of clients.

But I gave him my best elevator speech, one that we worked on for a bit – “Ozean is a political affairs firm providing strategic consulting using research, data, messaging, and media that drives messages beyond the bounds of only the political elite.”

Yeah, I could tell that didn’t land.

“Dad, Ozean is a public relations firm for political clients.”  AH-HA.  That was a bit better.  “We conduct research and create political campaigns, not so much for candidates any more but more for other political actors.”

“But we don’t use the term public relations…..”

“Why?”

Political Public Relations

The term “public relations” when involving government work is frowned upon and suspect.

There is a weariness of formally acknowledging that the government would have an interest in molding public opinion about issues.    Therefore, in 1913, the Gillett Amendment was tacked on to the Interstate Commerce Commission’s enabling act.  While it doesn’t ban government public relations per se, it does state “Appropriated funds may not be used to pay a publicity expert unless specifically appropriated for that purpose.”  Huh?  Yeah, I find it confusing too.

So, like with most laws and regulations, we go out of our way to find a loophole : We call ‘public relations’ by any other name.

The government employees and spends money, lots of money, on ‘information specialists’ and ‘community relationship managers.’

Firms that contract with the government go out of the way to call themselves “public affairs firms”, “strategic communication firms” – just not “public relations.”  We like the term “political affairs.”

This obfuscation brings to mind the old saying “the greatest trick the Devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn’t exist.”

In the end, call it what you want, but Ozean identifies audiences (“stakeholders”), attempts to understand who they trust and how and what they are thinking so that our clients can influence them on political matters.

Clear as mud right?  It’s just not public relations.

Science Friday: Evangelical Support for Trump and Church Attendance

Science Friday: Evangelical Support for Trump and Church Attendance

To the average politico, it is no surprise that 80% of self-identified white evangelical voters supported Donald Trump in 2016 – a trend that continued in 2020 where exit polls showed 76-81% of the group supported Trump. Simple explanations could explain this trend but an article I read in grad school sparked a different potential answer to such high levels of support.

Church is the most widespread form of voluntary community affiliation in the United States. An academic article titled, “Churches as Political Communities” by lead author Kenneth Wald (1988) investigated how different church settings significantly impact the political ideology of attendees. Specifically, the authors investigated 21 protestant churches in Gainesville, Florida, ranging from “universalist” themed congregations to “traditional” congregations.

Results

The big takeaway from the study is that those who attend ideologically conservative churches are 3x more likely to identify with political conservatism. Why? The reason for conservatism spreading in church settings is the socialization and face-to-face interactions among church attendees. Put more simply, the more time you spend in a certain environment, the more likely you are to absorb and conform to the values and behaviors in that environment.

Therefore, although a study has not been conducted specifically relating to support for Trump, it is entirely possible that the protestant evangelical support for Trump is directly connected to church attendance and the ideological nature of protestant congregations.

A Christmas Message from Ozean

A Christmas Message from Ozean

A Christmas Message from Ozean

“Thinking warmly of each of you and wishing your family an extra measure of comfort, joy, and hope this Christmas.”

Midnight Mass is one of my favorite times of the year. The tradition, the music, the peacefulness, and the quiet reflection – just a specific time to give yourself permission to fill your your heart with wonder and joy.

For us Midnight Mass is a family tradition with my mother only wanting all her children and grandchildren to attend together, and I truly treasurer the moments and memories.

Like many of you, COVID-19 has altered or eliminated traditional Christmas plans and activities. Like some of you, in times of quiet reflection this holiday season, I have to make a conscious choice to find the joy in the moment. Yes, I will miss Midnight Mass with my family this year terribly, but I am choosing to be full of gratitude and hope.

The Ozean team is thankful for each of you, and it is our sincere hope that especially in this crazy year, Christmas finds a new, different, and exciting way to fill your heart with comfort, joy, and hope.

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays,

Alex