Analysis on public sentiment, regulatory trends, persuasion, and campaigns.
Electoral Politics and RepresentationMy interest here is not in helping the Democratic Party rebuild itself in Florida, but to have a difficult conversation. My first paid campaign experience was in 1992. I took a summer off school and worked as a finance director...
Misinterpreting Public Will: Advocacy's Fatal Flaw TL;DR Misinterpreting Public Will derails advocacy campaigns, leading to wasted resources. Public opinion reflects surface-level sentiment, often polled data. Public will signifies deeper, values-based commitment,...
TL;DR: In reviewing academic research, efforts to fix political polarization by making partisans dislike each other less are failing, because the problem is not about individual feelings. The real issue is a political structure that incentivizes conflict and...
Data-Driven Coalition Building: Maximize Impact TL;DR Data-Driven Coalition Building moves beyond intuition for superior advocacy. Traditional approaches often validate existing alliances, limiting reach. Polling data identifies untapped stakeholders, maximizing...
Strategic Community Consent: Bridging the Clean Energy Divide TL;DR Strategic Community Consent effectively reduces local opposition to clean energy projects. Local concerns often contrast with broad national support for renewable initiatives. Early, transparent...
TL;DR Forget traditional political persuasion. True, lasting belief change is incredibly rare because our brains fiercely defend beliefs tied to our identity. The science reveals only two consistent paths to fundamentally alter political beliefs: A "Shock to the...
Data-Driven Influence: Science Outperforms Intuition in Public AffairsTL;DR Achieve superior Data-Driven Influence by applying scientific rigor to public affairs. Formulate testable hypotheses to predict audience behavior, moving beyond guesswork. Measure campaign...
TL,DR In a high-stakes political environment, real-time data is the only way to replace intuition with precision and ensure your budget is actually moving the needle. Tracking Polls are the answer.Tracking Polls are the Answer Public affairs campaigns often rely on...
Public affairs campaigns fail because they guess. They mistake activity for impact. Grassroots mobilization uses the power of the crowd. It signals broad public support to a legislator. Grasstops mobilization uses the power of the few. It leverages influential peers...
