Was asked a question, “What precincts are you watching closely for Election Night in Alachua?” The true answer is “none”, but if I were to watch some here is what they would be:

There are several precincts that were close to 50 / 50 in 2016. There are 5 that were within 5% of each other: 47,11,29,46,16.

There are two precincts that almost matched closest to Alachua’s average (58% Clinton – D, 36% Trump – R) in 2016: 48 and 22.

And just for giggles – I’d watch precinct 13. Why? Because in 2016, 94% of the vote went to Clinton and only 4% to Trump.

What am I looking for? Changes on the margins – especially in the close to 50/50 precincts.