Ozean Political Blog
A political blog about digital media, data, research and consulting.
Blog Challenge: Will there ever be a “multi-party” system (i.e. 5-10 parties) or are we stuck here?
Will there ever be a "multi-party" system (i.e. 5-10 parties) or are we stuck here? Short answer, we are stuck – at least for the foreseeable future. There are roughly three types of party government – single parties (China), two party (USA), and multi-party,...
Best Books of 2022 for political practitioners
Introduction So begins the 30 day blogging challenge. My thought is to start with an easy one and ease into it. A graduate student asked me what book I read this year that I would recommend to practitioners of political affairs. Seeing that I have seeming spent a...
Alachua County and Single Member Districts
Overview For the most part, voters in Alachua County performed about as one would expect. Of all campaigns that were partisan and county wide, Democrats averaged 58% and Republicans averaged 42% of the vote. This is in-line with historic returns going back to 1996....
PART 4 – HOW TO USE DIGITAL MEDIA TO CHANGE MINDS
We spent time in part 1, part2 , and part3 in this series speaking about the difficulty in changing minds once formed. We also spent some time talking about the 'deep work' needed and how to change to change minds. We have seen just how difficult it is to change minds...
PART 3 – HOW TO CHANGE MINDS USING DIGITAL MEDIA? PERSUASION
We have finally arrived at part 3 of 3 on the topic of "How to Change Minds Using Digital Media? Persuasion." In Part 1 - we explored the formation of beliefs, values, and opinions. In Part 2 - we explored the forces at work that attempt to sustain beliefs - both...
Part 2 – HOW TO CHANGE MINDS USING DIGITAL MEDIA? SUSTAINING OF BELIEFS, VALUES AND ATTITUDES
In Part 1 HOW TO CHANGE MINDS USING DIGITAL MEDIA? FORMATION OF BELIEFS, VALUES AND ATTITUDES, we explored the formation of beliefs, values, attitudes, and identities. We understand that after people form political identities (or any for that matter), they are...
PART 1 – HOW TO CHANGE MINDS USING DIGITAL MEDIA? FORMATION OF BELIEFS, VALUES AND ATTITUDES
This begins a three-part blog post exploring how to use digital media to change minds in a political context. I have spent nearly a professional lifetime trying to understand how people make political decisions and how to affect that process. Even that topic gets...
How to use Digital Advocacy to Change Minds
"How does one change someone's mind?" As in the past, some of the best blog topics come from friends via email. This question, "How does one change someone's mind?" was asked in the context of the current COVID debate. However, it spurred a much longer, deeper...
Affective Partisanship – Why do you hate me?
I hope you had a great 4th of July. As a true nerd, I spent some time looking at American National Election Studies (ANES) data. For those unfamiliar with the data, it began at the University of Michigan and now is a jointly done with Stanford. The survey research...
Ranked Choice Voting – a final verdict and a “Winner”
My flirtation with Ranked Choice Voting has ended as many of my flirtations end: bewildered and alone with my thoughts. As I disclosed early in the process, I went into this project thinking the United States isn't ready for RCV, and this exercise and the recent...
Ranked Choice Voting – I am starting over!
As with some projects, and especially some coding projects, it is better to shut the lap - top and go for a walk. Then start all over. That is where I find myself now. I was doing some additional research in how to account for ties: There are three ways - three...
Ranked Choice Voting – I am about to give up
I am frustrated. What should have been an easy 1-2-3 project has turned into a mess. It seems by offering people ranking, people are getting to the point of "throwing" away their votes - even may be enjoying it. Just when I think we are making progress towards...