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Science Friday: Data Behind HUGE 2020 Republican Gains in Osceola County, FL

A lot of press coverage of Trump’s win in Florida surrounded the HUGE Republican gains in Miami-Dade County. Don’t get me wrong, it was critical and impressive, but the Republican performance in Osceola County is an underreported spectacle of Republican success.

Below are some graphics representing the success of Osceola County compared to other counties. I plan on exploring this data at a precinct level in a future blog.

County Comparison

From 2016 to 2020, Osceola County Republicans performed 6.7% better in terms of Presidential election vote share. This was the second highest increase in Republican vote share among all Florida counties. The two darkest counties represent Osceola and Miami Dade County. Miami Dade is at the southern tip of Florida.

 

Below is a graphic displaying the change in Republican votes from 2016 to 2020. The x-axis represents the percentage change of vote for the Republican presidential candidates. The y-axis represents the change in Republican turnout. The size of the circles represents a county’s vote share in comparison to the entire state.

In terms of raw numbers, the Republican presidential candidate received 23,228 more votes in 2020 than in 2016, compared to a roughly 12,000 vote gain for the Democratic candidate.

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