How divided is Florida?

I went to bed last night thinking about about DecisionDeskHQ’s attempt to make a nationwide precinct map. It is a challenging and cool project.

Thinking about this as I slumbered, I awoke wondering just ‘how divided are we in Florida at the precinct level’?

Thanks to the great state of Florida, we have precinct level results, and over morning coffee, I found my answer.

The answer: Pretty damn divided.

If you consider a precinct “competitive” if separated by 10% or less, then few Floridians live in precincts that are competitive – the median difference in the 2016 POTUS election is 28% in Florida.

Only 18% of Florida’s precincts had Clinton and Trump within 10% of each other.

OR

Almost half (46%) of Florida’s precincts resulted in the difference between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton being greater than or equal to 30%.

P.S. The data is below, and now you know what nerds do on Saturday mornings before their kids wake up.

DATA

This is a histogram of the absolute value of the difference between the Clinton% and Trump% of the vote total.

Note: (I dropped the random precincts that are less than .01 and greater than .99)

Here are the summary statistics:

		Cases
Valid		Missing
N	Percent	N
5688	100.00%	0

	Descriptives
		Statistic	Std. Error
Mean		0.32285	0.003074
95% Confidence Interval for Mean	Lower Bound	0.316824
	Upper Bound	0.328876
5% Trimmed Mean		0.309017
Median		0.277699
Variance		0.054
Std. Deviation		0.231816
Minimum		0
Maximum		0.982301
Range		0.982301
Interquartile Range		0.315587
Skewness		0.804	0.032
Kurtosis		-0.083	0.065

Precinct by category

	Frequency	Percent	Cumulative Percent
0-10%	1010	17.8	17.8
10-20	1033	18.2	35.9
20-30	1035	18.2	54.1
30-40	849	14.9	69
40-50	568	10	79
50-60	399	7	86
60-70	286	5	91.1
70-80	210	3.7	94.8
80-90	194	3.4	98.2
90-100	104	1.8	100
Total	5688	100

Sum of Votes cast by Precinct Category

Category	VotesCast	% of total
0-10%	1739609	19%
10-20	1732374	19%
20-30	1920034	21%
30-40	1454646	16%
40-50	909401	10%
50-60	578875	6%
60-70	367632	4%
70-80	225290	2%
80-90	228293	2%
90-100	121634	1%
Total	9277788	100%

You can download my cleaned data at: gitHub or at data.world.

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