Chamber Pulse Insider Economic Survey Panel

Chamber Pulse Insider Economic Survey Panel

Chamber Pulse Economic Insider Survey Panel

Ozean Media recently published a study through it’s sister entity, Chamber Pulse, which surveys Chamber of Commerce executives across the Southeast United States. A copy of the study is posted below. You can view the the original study and all future studies by visiting chamberpulse.com.

2023 Quarter 3 Economic Outlook

Welcome to the first edition of Ozean Media’s Chamber Pulse Economic Insider survey panel; a quarterly survey of Chamber of Commerce executives across the Southeast.

The survey reveals that Chamber of Commerce executives rank their local and statewide economies much higher than the national economy, both generally and in terms of growth.

“The data shows that Chamber executives are slightly optimistic locally, while remaining uneasy about uncontrollable national economic factors,” says Ben Torpey of Ozean Media.

Over 75% respondents rated the current condition of their statewide and local economies as “good”, compared to just over 25% for the national economy. The same held true when respondents were asked to compare economic conditions to 3 months prior and over the next 3 months; respondents held overall positive attitudes toward statewide and local economies, while having a poor outlook for the national economy.

The survey also asked about specific local economic conditions, such as cost of living, overall local business climate, inflation, and the housing market.

“What really stands out is the concern over inflation and the cost of living. Not only did a plurality indicate that inflation (57%) and the cost of living (50%) have gotten worse over the past 3 months, but the same share of respondents expect it to get worse over the next 3 months,” concludes Ben Torpey of Ozean Media.

Despite these concerns, not a single respondent indicated that their local business climate has gotten worse over the past 3 months, while a plurality (50%) of the respondents expected their local business climate to improve over the next 3 months.

Looking forward, and in light of perceived improvements compared to the previous 3 months, we hope to see the continuation of respondent’s future economic expectations.

Methodology

Chamber of Commerce Presidents, Executive Directors, and CEOs from the Southeastern United States are surveyed quarterly online for the Ozean Media Chamber Pulse survey panel. Eligibility is determined by asking the person to complete an online demographic form where answers are checked for authenticity. Once authorized, panelists are assigned unique tokens to maintain anonymity and sent an invitation to take the survey. A maximum of five attempts per record is made. The average time to take the survey is under 5 minutes.

Respondents are asked 1 question about current economic conditions, 3 questions about economic conditions over the past 3 months, and 3 questions forecasting economic conditions over the next 3 months at the national, statewide, and local levels. These questions will remain consistent throughout future surveys.

Chamber of Commerce Panel Partners

  • Pell City Chamber of Commerce – Pell City, Alabama
  • Hawkinsville Chamber of Commerce – Hawkinsville, Georgia
  • Stuart/Martin County Chamber of Commerce – Stuart, Florida
  • Tavares Chamber of Commerce – Tavares, Florida
  • Greater Ardmore Chamber of Commerce – Ardmore, Alabama/Tennessee
  • Demopolis Area Chamber of Commerce – Demopolis, Alabama
  • Greater Pasco Chamber of Commerce – New Port Richey, Florida
  • Athens Area Chamber of Commerce– Athens, Georgia
  • Asheboro/Randolph Chamber – Asheboro, North Carolina
  • Gwinnett Chamber of Commerce – Duluth, Georgia
  • Orangeburg County Chamber of Commerce – Orangeburg, South Carolina
  • Ocala Metro Chamber & Economic Partnership – Ocala, Florida
  • Millbrook Area Chamber of Commerce – Millbrook, Alabama
  • South Lake Chamber of Commerce – Clermont, Florida

2023 Q3 Chamber Pulse Report

Associations, Communications, and Advocacy: First Party Data

Associations, Communications, and Advocacy: First Party Data

Ozean’s Guide to Associations, Communications, and Advocacy: First Party Data

 

This is part one of a multi-part series about what to do and what NOT to do when it comes to advocacy projects for your association. Whether you are a trade association, chamber of commerce, or your local YMCA – this applies.

This post will focus on the importance of first party data. First party data is information YOU and your organization have collected, such as member information and sign-ups; NOT information you purchase from a data broker.

Why is first party data important? Because you OWN it and are not at the mercy of others. This means you can email your lists while lessening the possibility of being reported as spam or banned from email platforms.

Additionally, first party data allows you to use your list as audiences in digital advertising campaigns, giving you the confidence that you are targeting exactly who you intend to and minimizing waste.

Let’s look at a scenario where first party data gives you an advantage.

Let’s say your association held an event with prospective members and collected their contact information (this includes first name, email, and phone number). With this information, you are able to target the prospective members with email marketing campaigns as well as digital advertising campaigns (whether it is Facebook or traditional display advertising).

If you did not collect this information, your association would miss out on efficient, precise communication operations and a digital strategy to recruit new members.

Strategies to collect first party data include physical data collection, website sign up forms, or collecting information from phone calls. Keeping track and documenting who communicates with your association is key to building your first party data.

Establishing an organized first party data operation is just the beginning to Associations, communications, and advocacy.

If you are in the market for a strategic, long-term political affairs partner for your organization, trade association, or corporation / company, Ozean is eager to speak with you. Our easy-to-use appointment scheduling tool makes it simple to find a time that works for you.

Science Friday: Evangelical Support for Trump and Church Attendance

Science Friday: Evangelical Support for Trump and Church Attendance

To the average politico, it is no surprise that 80% of self-identified white evangelical voters supported Donald Trump in 2016 – a trend that continued in 2020 where exit polls showed 76-81% of the group supported Trump. Simple explanations could explain this trend but an article I read in grad school sparked a different potential answer to such high levels of support.

Church is the most widespread form of voluntary community affiliation in the United States. An academic article titled, “Churches as Political Communities” by lead author Kenneth Wald (1988) investigated how different church settings significantly impact the political ideology of attendees. Specifically, the authors investigated 21 protestant churches in Gainesville, Florida, ranging from “universalist” themed congregations to “traditional” congregations.

Results

The big takeaway from the study is that those who attend ideologically conservative churches are 3x more likely to identify with political conservatism. Why? The reason for conservatism spreading in church settings is the socialization and face-to-face interactions among church attendees. Put more simply, the more time you spend in a certain environment, the more likely you are to absorb and conform to the values and behaviors in that environment.

Therefore, although a study has not been conducted specifically relating to support for Trump, it is entirely possible that the protestant evangelical support for Trump is directly connected to church attendance and the ideological nature of protestant congregations.

Keys to Success in the Age of Non-stop Campaigning: Digital, Data, and List Building

We are in the age of non-stop campaigning. It goes without saying that the campaign for 2022 began the morning after the November 3rd election. The key to victory? Building a data-driven, digital-first strategy to build your email list.

Emails are the golden key to successful campaigns. Emails are a direct way to identify and contact your supporters for fundraising, campaign updates, and calls to action. Most importantly, building your own list gives your campaign or organization independence – no social media bureaucrat can magically take away your ability to communicate with your audience.

 

Data-driven, digital-first strategies have transformed list building. Long gone are the days of waiting for supporters to put their name on a physical sign-in sheet at a campaign event. Rather, it is now possible to identify, target, and recruit the most likely candidates to build your list.

 

Correctly building and maintaining your database is critical for success. Often, the low-hanging fruit is individuals who have a history of donating to similar causes or candidates. Once the initial database is built-out, you have a list of interested individuals to target digitally with the goal of collecting their email addresses. 

 

Using precise, IP-targeted software, you can consistently stay in front of your target audience with highly targeted digital ads. When the ad is clicked, your target will be asked to submit their email. 

 

Our clients have had great success building their list in the months and even years leading up to an election. Beginning this process well in advance allows you to amass a list of supporters ready to activate as the election draws near.

Science Friday: Data Behind HUGE 2020 Republican Gains in Osceola County, FL

A lot of press coverage of Trump’s win in Florida surrounded the HUGE Republican gains in Miami-Dade County. Don’t get me wrong, it was critical and impressive, but the Republican performance in Osceola County is an underreported spectacle of Republican success.

Below are some graphics representing the success of Osceola County compared to other counties. I plan on exploring this data at a precinct level in a future blog.

County Comparison

From 2016 to 2020, Osceola County Republicans performed 6.7% better in terms of Presidential election vote share. This was the second highest increase in Republican vote share among all Florida counties. The two darkest counties represent Osceola and Miami Dade County. Miami Dade is at the southern tip of Florida.

 

Below is a graphic displaying the change in Republican votes from 2016 to 2020. The x-axis represents the percentage change of vote for the Republican presidential candidates. The y-axis represents the change in Republican turnout. The size of the circles represents a county’s vote share in comparison to the entire state.

In terms of raw numbers, the Republican presidential candidate received 23,228 more votes in 2020 than in 2016, compared to a roughly 12,000 vote gain for the Democratic candidate.