I went to bed last night thinking about about DecisionDeskHQ’s attempt to make a nationwide precinct map. It is a challenging and cool project.
Thinking about this as I slumbered, I awoke wondering just ‘how divided are we in Florida at the precinct level’?
Thanks to the great state of Florida, we have precinct level results, and over morning coffee, I found my answer.
The answer: Pretty damn divided.
If you consider a precinct “competitive” if separated by 10% or less, then few Floridians live in precincts that are competitive – the median difference in the 2016 POTUS election is 28% in Florida.
Only 18% of Florida’s precincts had Clinton and Trump within 10% of each other.
Almost half (46%) of Florida’s precincts resulted in the difference between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton being greater than or equal to 30%.
P.S. The data is below, and now you know what nerds do on Saturday mornings before their kids wake up.
This is a histogram of the absolute value of the difference between the Clinton% and Trump% of the vote total.
Note: (I dropped the random precincts that are less than .01 and greater than .99)
Here are the summary statistics:
|95% Confidence Interval for Mean||Lower Bound||0.316824|
|5% Trimmed Mean||0.309017|
Precinct by category
Sum of Votes cast by Precinct Category
|Category||VotesCast||% of total|