Why Puerto Rico Matters Politically in Florida

Anyone who maintains an influx of Democratic-leaning, Puerto Rican voters doesn’t matter, doesn’t understand Florida.

In a state with razor-thin Presidential margins of victory and close Gubernatorial elections, any influx of partisan voters unmatched by the other side matters … a lot.

Just saying….with Florida’s voter registration now online, it is as easy as 1,2, CLICK to register people to vote in Florida.

Responsible people have to ask, is Donald Trump digging his own grave?  Are Donald Trump’s actions right now sowing the seeds of Florida “turning blue”?    But before we go too far down that path, we must keep in mind, elections are specific choices, offered in a specific political context, at a specific time!

The future is difficult to predict, but the data below combined with the President’s response should keep any Florida political operative up at night.

Here is the data:  24 years of presidential and gubernatorial elections in Florida are separated by less than a point!    

Florida Election Results 1992-2016

Presidential and Gubernatoral

 Presidential
YEAR Rep Dem Rep% Dem% Diff%
1992 2,171,787 2,071,662 40.9 39 1.9 note:  Perot 19.8
1996 2,244,164 2,546,600 42.3 48 -5.7
2000 2,912,790 2,912,253 48.8 48.8 0
2004 3,964,522 3,583,544 52.1 47.1 5
2008 4,045,624 4,282,074 48.2 51 -2.8
2012 4,163,447 4,237,756 49.1 50 -0.9
2016 4,617,886 4,504,975 49 47.8 1.2
 Gubernatorial
YEAR Rep Dem Rep% Dem% Diff%
1994 2,071,068 2,135,008 49.2 50.8 -1.6
1998 2,191,105 1,773,054 55.3 44.7 10.6
2002 2,856,845 2,201,427 56 43.2 12.8
2006 2,519,845 2,178,289 52.2 45.1 7.1
2010 2,619,335 2,557,785 48.9 47.7 1.2
2014 2,865,343 2,801,198 48.1 47.1 1
All
Rep Dem Total Diff %_dif
PRES TOTALS 24,120,220 24,138,864 48,259,084 18,644 0.04%
GOV TOTALS 15,123,541 13,646,761 28,770,302 1,476,780 5.13%
GRAND TOTALS 39,243,761 37,785,625 77,029,386 1,458,136 1.89%
Last 4
Rep Dem Total Diff %_dif
PRES TOTALS 8,781,333 8,742,731 17,524,064 38,602 0.22%
GOV TOTALS 5,484,678 5,358,983 10,843,661 125,695 1.16%
GRAND TOTALS 14,266,011 14,101,714 28,367,725 164,297 0.58%

About Alex Patton

Leave A Comment...