Stop me if you have heard this before, a funny thing happened this week on talk radio. As you may know, I am the special guest on the Ward Scott Files on 980AM each Tuesday from 8a-9a in the segment we call “Political Nerd Tuesday”.  I enjoy being on the show providing analysis and discussing political strategy and polling. The Donald During this Tuesday’s show, I provided my astute analysis that Donald Trump is a bozo […]

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Ward Scott Files – Show notes

Alex Patton is a weekly guest on the Ward Scott Files for “Political Nerd Tuesday” : a weekly exploration of all things related to political strategy,political polling, and political research. Below are the show notes prepared for the show.  The show notes are prepared ahead of the show and do not reflect extemporaneous discussions, but do contain links and additional information to topics discussed. You can listen to a podcast of the show at the Podcast Page […]

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Ward Scott Files – Show Notes 6/23/2015

Alex Patton is a weekly guest on the Ward Scott Files for “Political Nerd Tuesday” : a weekly exploration of all things related to political strategy, political polling, and political research. Below are the show notes prepared for the show.  The show notes are prepared ahead of the show and do not reflect extemporaneous discussions, but do contain links and additional information to topics discussed. You can listen to a podcast of the show at the Podcast […]

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Ward Scott Files – Show Notes – 5/26/2015

BUMPS IN POLLS Go back to address Jennifer’s question on what causes bumps in polls. A paper out of Columbia and Stanford that I came across. The people choosing to opt into a poll increases with enthusiasm from those supporting a candidate. “It seems implausible that many voters will switch support from one party to the other because of minor campaign events.1 “ “Or, alternatively, the surveys taken before and after the debate were capturing […]

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Ward Scott Files – shownotes – 5/19/2015

Jacksonville Mayor Race – election today Too close to call. Illustrates importance of Florida – national players PPP Poll PPP’s national Republican poll for May continues to find Scott Walker leading the field, but it’s tightly clustered and his support has actually dropped two consecutive surveys now. Walker’s at 18% to 13% for Marco Rubio, 12% each for Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Ted Cruz, 9% for Rand Paul, […]

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Ward Scott Files – Show Notes 5/12/2015

Alex Patton is a weekly guest on the Ward Scott Files for “Political Nerd Tuesday” : a weekly exploration of all things related to political strategy, political polling, and political research. Below are the show notes prepared for the show.  The show notes are prepared ahead of the show and do not reflect extemporaneous discussions, but do contain links and additional information to topics discussed. You can listen to a podcast of the show at the […]

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Ward Scott Show Notes – 5/5/2015

Show notes from Ward Scott Files radio program. CINCO DE MAYO The date is observed to commemorate the Mexican army’s unlikely victory over French forces at the Battle of Puebla on May 5, 1862,  In the United States, Cinco de Mayo is sometimes mistaken to be Mexico’s Independence Day—the most important national holiday in Mexico—which is celebrated on September 16 The Most Popular Politician in America In an era defined by unrelenting partisan conflict, exceedingly popular politicians are not […]

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Ward Scott Files Show Notes – 4-28-2015

Here are my random show notes for the Ward Scott Files for 4/28/2015. We did spend some time discussing demographic trends and how that complicates issues for the GOP at the national and statewide level. WHY THE 2016 GOP RACE MAY BE MORE LIKE 2012 THAN THE PARTY HOPED via Matea Gold and Ed O’Keefe of the Washington Post The 2016 Republican presidential contest, designed to be a tidy affair, is instead shaping up to be a […]

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Ward Scott Files – 4-21-2015 Show Notes

I am publishing my show notes on ozeanmedia.com Move over S.C., Fla. picks the GOP nominee via St. Pete Times South Carolina Republicans used to love boasting about their track record for picking Republican presidential nominees in modern modern, but that went out the window 2012 when Newt Gingrich won the Palmetto state only to quickly crash to the ground in Florida. The good folks at Smart Politics, the politics site from the University of Minnesota’s […]

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Ward Scott Files – Show Notes – 4/14/2015

Below are my show notes for the 4/14/2015 Ward Scott Files.  In the future, I will attempt to make them more coherent, but these note represent my actual notes for the show. It is my goal to publish notes and links to any article(s) I reference during the show. As always, feedback is welcome. Rubio Announced  Great Speech New Generation – taking a slight jab at Jeb!  (Hillary has been good for him) Rubio’s campaign has […]

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