As I have written, Puerto Rico could be a big deal in Florida politics. It has the potential to be a game changer, and several press outlets have reported on the issue. NBC – Over 139,000 Puerto Ricans Have Arrived in Florida Since Hurricane Maria Tampa Bay Times and Alex Leary – Puerto Rican wave hits Florida, carrying big political implications FACT: The last 4 general elections held in Florida have over 28 million votes cast, only […]
A long time ago, we were going to change the world. We decided we had enough of that stuffy corporate world with its salary, benefits, and ample cash flow. We thought we had a good business plan, we thought we had completed the research – and we jumped. We started our own company, and damn it we were going to change the world. Now, what to call this company? Our brainstorming led us to German […]
Anyone who maintains an influx of Democratic-leaning, Puerto Rican voters doesn’t matter, doesn’t understand Florida. In a state with razor-thin Presidential margins of victory and close Gubernatorial elections, any influx of partisan voters unmatched by the other side matters … a lot. Just saying….with Florida’s voter registration now online, it is as easy as 1,2, CLICK to register people to vote in Florida. Responsible people have to ask, is Donald Trump digging his own grave? […]
Admittedly, I have been slacking in writing. This is due to workload and frankly falling off the writing wagon. I will try and do better, but in the meantime, I was asked to look at Republican Turnout in Florida. I only explored those voters currently registered in Florida that voted in the 2016 primary. I only explored those voters currently registered in Florida that voted in the 2016 primary. I chose to look at the turnout […]
how did donald Trump become President Trump? DATA explaining Trump's win Most got it wrong; I did. The data is now starting to arrive and serious people are now beginning to explore the data in an attempt to understand how President Trump came to win. We will attempt to avoid the pieces that attempt to drive a narrative and stick to data points. The Definitive Guide to 2016 (so far): RealClearPolitics: How Trump […]
Thinking about 2018 with a potential matchup of Rick Scott v Senator Bill Nelson, I was messing around with scripts to combine data sets and came up with vote totals for the 2014 campaign for Florida Governor featuring Rick Scott v Charlie Crist by Florida DMA (Television Markets). Here you go…..I may write later on what this possibly means for 2018, but for now, it is provided as is for your enjoyment.
Got a quick question on the Ward Scott Files today, “What effect will Trump’s threats against the Freedom Caucus have?” Short answer: Not much. Took a quick look (excuse the non-sexy graph) at how members of the freedom caucus performed against Trump, Romney and McCain in their districts. On average, the 30 members identified as members out-performed Trump by 5.4%. If we throw out the outliers, it is more. (I don’t have the time nor […]
I went to bed last night thinking about about DecisionDeskHQ’s attempt to make a nationwide precinct map. It is a challenging and cool project. Thinking about this as I slumbered, I awoke wondering just ‘how divided are we in Florida at the precinct level’? Thanks to the great state of Florida, we have precinct level results, and over morning coffee, I found my answer. The answer: Pretty damn divided. If you consider a precinct […]
I was looking for a data-set this morning for a GIS project, and I thought the data would be relatively easy to find. It wasn’t. I did find what I wanted in one case, but someone was charging $199 for the data. So, I spent a couple of hours researching, compiling and cleaning data. I offer it to you for free and in the name of political analysis. Enjoy! Data Set: TV DMAs by Counties […]
Just now rising from the haze and starting in on the data. Enjoy. More to follow.